Verkiesings 2019: Vertroue in opposisiepartye

Christie Keulder – ‘n Mens kan sommige mense dalk nie blameer dat hulle wonder of vanjaar ‘n verkiesingsjaar is nie.

Dusver was daar min vuurwerke. Veldtogte is relatief beperk, min manifeste is nog bekendgestel en oor politieke vergaderings word nie baie berig nie.

Beleef Namibië ‘n ernstige geval van politieke uitputting; ‘n politieke dooiepunt waaruit niemand weet wat die uitweg is nie? Het ons ophou omgee, het ons idees opgeraak of is politieke partye se hulpbronne eenvoudig te beperk?

Namibiërs se begrip van, en ondersteuning vir veelpartydemokrasie het die afgelope drie dekades toegeneem. Die rol van opposisiepartye word ook beter verstaan, maar mense is nie noodwendig oortuig dat die huidige opposisie baie waarde aan kiesers bied nie.

Dit gaan nie net oor vertroue nie. Grafiek 1 wys egter vertroue in opposisiepartye is redelik min – hoewel nog nie kritiek laag nie. Die vertroue, bereken op 34% in 2017, is aansienlik minder as die 47% wat in 2014 aangeteken is. Dit is slegte nuus.

Die oorsaak is nie ‘n gebrek aan politieke ruimte nie. Data toon 57% van Namibiërs dink opposisiepartye het groter vryhede. Net 10% van deelnemers het gedink opposisiekandidate word verhoed om aan verkiesings deel te neem.

Grafiek 2 wys vertroue in opposisiepartye stem nie sterk ooreen met gevoelens van verbondenheid tot ‘n spesifieke opposisieparty nie.

Vertroue in opposisiepartye is konstant groter as ondersteuning vir ‘n spesifieke opposisieparty. Die verskil is strykdeur meer as 10% en in 2014 – die jaar waarin die vorige algemene verkiesing plaasgevind het – was die gaping op 21% die grootste nog.

Beteken dit opposisie as beginsel het groter aanhang as die steun wat enige opposisieparty prakties kan werf?

Waarheen is Namibië op pad?

* Data is ontleen aan die Afrobarometer, 'n Pan-Afrikaanse reeks opnames oor houdings oor demokrasie, bestuur en die gemeenskap. Besoek afrobarometer.org vir meer besonderhede.

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Currie Cup: Fidelity ADT Lions 14 vs 16 Hollywoodbets Sharks XV Rugby Championship: Australia 28 vs 31 New Zealand Premier League: Crystal Palace 0 vs 0 Manchester United | Tottenham Hotspur 3 vs 1 Brentford | Southampton 1 vs 1 Ipswich Town | Liverpool 3 vs 0 Bournemouth | Leicester City 1 vs 1 Everton | Fulham 3 vs 1 Newcastle | Aston Villa 3 vs 1 Wolves | West Ham 0 vs 3 Chelsea LaLiga: Real Madrid 4 vs 1 Espanyol | Valencia 2 vs 0 Girona | Osasuna 2 vs 1 Las Palmas | Real Valladolid 0 vs 0 Real Sociedad | Deportivo Alaves 2 vs 1 Sevilla | Leganés 0 vs 2 Athletic Club SerieA: Lecce 2 vs 2 Parma | Juventus 0 vs 0 Napoli | Venezia 2 vs 0 Genoa | Hellas Verona 2 vs 3 Torino | Cagliari 0 vs 2 Empoli European Championships Qualifying: West Bromwich Albion 1 vs 0 Plymouth Argyle | Sheffield United 1 vs 0 Derby County | Luton Town 2 vs 1 Sheffield Wednesday | Coventry City 1 vs 2 Swansea City | Cardiff City 0 vs 2 Leeds United | Burnley 2 vs 1 Portsmouth | Bristol City 2 vs 1 Oxford United | Sunderland 1 vs 0 Middlesbrough | Queens Park Rangers 1 vs 1 Millwall FC | Norwich City 4 vs 1 Watford | Stoke City 1 vs 3 Hull City English Championship: West Bromwich Albion 1 vs 0 Plymouth Argyle | Sheffield United 1 vs 0 Derby County | Luton Town 2 vs 1 Sheffield Wednesday | Coventry City 1 vs 2 Swansea City | Cardiff City 0 vs 2 Leeds United | Burnley 2 vs 1 Portsmouth | Bristol City 2 vs 1 Oxford United | Sunderland 1 vs 0 Middlesbrough | Queens Park Rangers 1 vs 1 Millwall FC | Norwich City 4 vs 1 Watford | Stoke City 1 vs 3 Hull City Katima Mulilo: 20° | 36° Rundu: 22° | 37° Eenhana: 18° | 38° Oshakati: 18° | 37° Ruacana: 18° | 36° Tsumeb: 22° | 35° Otjiwarongo: 15° | 33° Omaruru: 15° | 35° Windhoek: 15° | 31° Gobabis: 12° | 32° Henties Bay: 11° | 21° Wind speed: 18km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 07:45, High tide: 14:07, Low Tide: 20:11, High tide: 02:00 Swakopmund: 13° | 15° Wind speed: 15km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 07:43, High tide: 14:05, Low Tide: 20:09, High tide: 02:00 Walvis Bay: 11° | 20° Wind speed: 19km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 07:43, High tide: 14:04, Low Tide: 20:09, High tide: 02:00 Rehoboth: 11° | 32° Mariental: 12° | 34° Keetmanshoop: 11° | 31° Aranos: 11° | 33° Lüderitz: 13° | 21° Ariamsvlei: 10° | 30° Oranjemund: 14° | 30° Luanda: 22° | 24° Gaborone: 12° | 25° Lubumbashi: 19° | 35° Mbabane: 8° | 12° Maseru: 4° | 17° Antananarivo: 11° | 32° Lilongwe: 19° | 30° Maputo: 14° | 22° Windhoek: 15° | 31° Cape Town: 11° | 24° Durban: 13° | 18° Johannesburg: 6° | 19° Dar es Salaam: 23° | 30° Lusaka: 19° | 29° Harare: 13° | 28° Currency: GBP to NAD 23.26 | EUR to NAD 19.53 | CNY to NAD 2.48 | USD to NAD 17.5 | DZD to NAD 0.13 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.28 | EGP to NAD 0.35 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.65 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.16 | RUB to NAD 0.19 | INR to NAD 0.21 | USD to DZD 131.91 | USD to AOA 927.77 | USD to BWP 13.17 | USD to EGP 48.46 | USD to KES 128.48 | USD to NGN 1593.37 | USD to ZAR 17.41 | USD to ZMW 26.45 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index Same 0 | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1831.97 Down -0.38% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 14246.86 Up +0.44% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 30937.69 Up +1.96% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI 9651.25 Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 622.24/OZ UP +1.35% | Copper US$ 4.31/lb DOWN -0.0032 | Zinc US$ 2 884.80/T DOWN -0.23% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 74.74/BBP DOWN -0.0019 | Platinum US$ 976.09/OZ DOWN -0.0067 Sport results: Currie Cup: Fidelity ADT Lions 14 vs 16 Hollywoodbets Sharks XV Rugby Championship: Australia 28 vs 31 New Zealand Premier League: Crystal Palace 0 vs 0 Manchester United | Tottenham Hotspur 3 vs 1 Brentford | Southampton 1 vs 1 Ipswich Town | Liverpool 3 vs 0 Bournemouth | Leicester City 1 vs 1 Everton | Fulham 3 vs 1 Newcastle | Aston Villa 3 vs 1 Wolves | West Ham 0 vs 3 Chelsea LaLiga: Real Madrid 4 vs 1 Espanyol | Valencia 2 vs 0 Girona | Osasuna 2 vs 1 Las Palmas | Real Valladolid 0 vs 0 Real Sociedad | Deportivo Alaves 2 vs 1 Sevilla | Leganés 0 vs 2 Athletic Club SerieA: Lecce 2 vs 2 Parma | Juventus 0 vs 0 Napoli | Venezia 2 vs 0 Genoa | Hellas Verona 2 vs 3 Torino | Cagliari 0 vs 2 Empoli European Championships Qualifying: West Bromwich Albion 1 vs 0 Plymouth Argyle | Sheffield United 1 vs 0 Derby County | Luton Town 2 vs 1 Sheffield Wednesday | Coventry City 1 vs 2 Swansea City | Cardiff City 0 vs 2 Leeds United | Burnley 2 vs 1 Portsmouth | Bristol City 2 vs 1 Oxford United | Sunderland 1 vs 0 Middlesbrough | Queens Park Rangers 1 vs 1 Millwall FC | Norwich City 4 vs 1 Watford | Stoke City 1 vs 3 Hull City English Championship: West Bromwich Albion 1 vs 0 Plymouth Argyle | Sheffield United 1 vs 0 Derby County | Luton Town 2 vs 1 Sheffield Wednesday | Coventry City 1 vs 2 Swansea City | Cardiff City 0 vs 2 Leeds United | Burnley 2 vs 1 Portsmouth | Bristol City 2 vs 1 Oxford United | Sunderland 1 vs 0 Middlesbrough | Queens Park Rangers 1 vs 1 Millwall FC | Norwich City 4 vs 1 Watford | Stoke City 1 vs 3 Hull City Weather: Katima Mulilo: 20° | 36° Rundu: 22° | 37° Eenhana: 18° | 38° Oshakati: 18° | 37° Ruacana: 18° | 36° Tsumeb: 22° | 35° Otjiwarongo: 15° | 33° Omaruru: 15° | 35° Windhoek: 15° | 31° Gobabis: 12° | 32° Henties Bay: 11° | 21° Wind speed: 18km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 07:45, High tide: 14:07, Low Tide: 20:11, High tide: 02:00 Swakopmund: 13° | 15° Wind speed: 15km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 07:43, High tide: 14:05, Low Tide: 20:09, High tide: 02:00 Walvis Bay: 11° | 20° Wind speed: 19km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 07:43, High tide: 14:04, Low Tide: 20:09, High tide: 02:00 Rehoboth: 11° | 32° Mariental: 12° | 34° Keetmanshoop: 11° | 31° Aranos: 11° | 33° Lüderitz: 13° | 21° Ariamsvlei: 10° | 30° Oranjemund: 14° | 30° Luanda: 22° | 24° Gaborone: 12° | 25° Lubumbashi: 19° | 35° Mbabane: 8° | 12° Maseru: 4° | 17° Antananarivo: 11° | 32° Lilongwe: 19° | 30° Maputo: 14° | 22° Windhoek: 15° | 31° Cape Town: 11° | 24° Durban: 13° | 18° Johannesburg: 6° | 19° Dar es Salaam: 23° | 30° Lusaka: 19° | 29° Harare: 13° | 28° Economic Indicators: Currency: GBP to NAD 23.26 | EUR to NAD 19.53 | CNY to NAD 2.48 | USD to NAD 17.5 | DZD to NAD 0.13 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.28 | EGP to NAD 0.35 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.65 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.16 | RUB to NAD 0.19 | INR to NAD 0.21 | USD to DZD 131.91 | USD to AOA 927.77 | USD to BWP 13.17 | USD to EGP 48.46 | USD to KES 128.48 | USD to NGN 1593.37 | USD to ZAR 17.41 | USD to ZMW 26.45 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index Same 0 | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1831.97 Down -0.38% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 14246.86 Up +0.44% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 30937.69 Up +1.96% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI 9651.25 Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 622.24/OZ UP +1.35% | Copper US$ 4.31/lb DOWN -0.0032 | Zinc US$ 2 884.80/T DOWN -0.23% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 74.74/BBP DOWN -0.0019 | Platinum US$ 976.09/OZ DOWN -0.0067